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China to address world’s overcapacity concerns by cutting export-tax rebate

Move seen discouraging vicious low-price competition and outsized industry expansions, and Chinese manufacturer profits could take a hit。

China will lower its tax rebates for exports of solar and lithium battery products, seeking to ease international concerns about overcapacity in its new-energy sector, which has led to rising trade tensions.

The move will increase the costs for manufacturers and export prices, discouraging vicious low-price competition and excessive expansion of the industry, according to insiders.

Effective December 1, the export-tax-rebate rate for 209 products, including some refined oil products, photovoltaics, batteries and certain non-metallic mineral products, will be reduced from 13 per cent to 9 per cent, according to a joint statement from the Ministry of Finance and State Taxation Administration on Friday.

The country will also cancel the tax rebate for 59 other goods, including aluminium and copper products, the statement said.

An executive with a Jiangsu-based manufacturer of solar panels said a key reason for the reductions is that the solar industry has become too “involuted”, or nei juan in Chinese – an anthropological term originally used to explain a process in which additional input cannot produce more output. Over the past year or so, the term has become synonymous with being locked in an endless cycle of self-defeating competition.

“Export prices are very low, which has led to intensified international trade frictions,” the executive said on condition of anonymity.

The reduction in tax rebates will help eliminate high-cost production capacity, improve the supply quality in the sector and ensure healthy competition, the executive said.

As it will make Chinese solar products more expensive in the international market and could lead to a decline in export volumes, the policy will add to the manufacturers’ financial pressure in the near term, but “it is beneficial to the entire industry from a structural perspective and in the medium and long term”, the executive added.

Export-tax rebates are important for countries to promote exports, offering additional room for exporters to profit.

“Tax rebates are the only source of profit for a lot of manufacturers,” said Xu Jianzhong, a manager at a logistics company, also based in Jiangsu, whose clients are mostly new-energy exporters. “If the tax rebates are reduced or even cancelled, they would be forced to stop producing.”

“It’s like taking care of your own kids before it’s too late and others do it for you” said Xu Jianzhong, logistics company manager

Most manufacturers in the solar supply chain are currently losing money, he added.

Wang Bohua, honorary chairman of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, said on Monday at an industry conference that prices in all links of the photovoltaic sector had dropped by more than 60 per cent this year, compared with their high point in 2023.

He added that losses in the industry have continued to expand, with the scale far exceeding those caused by previous industrial fluctuations.

As Chinese firms have secured a near-monopolistic position in the world’s new-energy supply chain, excessively low prices have also led to complaints from foreign governments about the adverse impact on their own industries, along with rising investigations and trade barriers targeting Chinese products.

In the first three quarters of this year, the export volume of silicon wafers, solar cells and solar modules – which are covered in the latest round of tax-rebate reductions – increased by 26.5 per cent compared with a year earlier, though the exporting prices decreased by 34.8 per cent in US dollar terms, according to the Post’s calculations based on Chinese customs data.

With more and more Chinese firms venturing out to build manufacturing bases overseas, reduced tax rebates will also narrow the gap in production costs between their domestic and foreign facilities, according to analysts.